Week in Numbers – Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

The divergence between Indian PMIs and hard data has rarely been wider, with the two indicators pointing in opposite ends.

BasisPoint Insight

August 25, 2025 at 11:42 AM IST

iStock.com

Monetary Policy

RBI’s Growth Hopes Mask Limits of Policy Easing

The RBI’s optimism on growth belies structural weaknesses and hints that the impact of front-loaded rate cuts may already be waning.

Dhananjay Sinha

August 6, 2025 at 2:14 PM IST

Poonam Gupta

India’s Recovery Plan Is Missing Its Fiscal Half

While the RBI has acted to support growth, the Finance Ministry’s virtual silence since the Budget leaves policy looking oddly one-handed.

Dhananjay Sinha

Kalyan Ram

July 20, 2025 at 6:52 AM IST

Govt Gets Pragmatic About Crop Production, Lower Aim For Kharif 2025-26

Pulses, oilseeds, and cotton crops have struggled with production challenges over the past few years, with harvests falling short of targets and leading to supply shortages.

G. Chandrashekhar

July 3, 2025 at 12:49 PM IST

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Monsoon Mask Fails to Hide India’s Industrial Demand Weakness

June’s industrial slump goes beyond weather disruptions, exposing deeper cracks in consumer demand that policymakers cannot ignore.

BasisPoint Groupthink

July 2, 2025 at 12:55 PM IST

iStock.com

Early Monsoon Tempers Output, But Macro Signals Turn Upbeat

The early onset of the monsoon has brightened agricultural prospects and improved the inflation outlook, even as it appears to have weighed on industrial growth. Other sectors have shown resilience, and early indicators from June point to a recovery.

BasisPoint Groupthink

June 27, 2025 at 3:01 PM IST

istocks/ABHISHEK KUMAR SAH

The Monsoon’s Early Promise Is Not Yet A Policy Comfort

Monsoon’s early onset lifted hopes for growth and inflation, but its pause may call for policy caution as rainfall deficits widen.

BasisPoint Groupthink

June 10, 2025 at 9:43 AM IST

iStock.com

Predictability Of Weather Has Reduced

IMD’s Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra With Rajesh Mahapatra

Rajesh Mahapatra

June 3, 2025 at 6:55 AM IST

Offscript Weekly: Skies That Roar, Stories That Soothe

A week of wild weather, economic milestones, global rollercoasters, AI avatars in boardrooms – anchored by a quiet and bright Heart Lamp from Karnataka.

Ranjana Chauhan

May 27, 2025 at 1:13 PM IST

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Early Onset No Guarantee For A Good Monsoon

Monsoon’s early arrival has raised hopes of a strong season. But history shows that an early onset is no assurance of normal rainfall—2009 being a stark reminder.

BasisPoint Groupthink

May 26, 2025 at 11:42 AM IST

iStock.com

IMD Sees Southwest Monsoon Rains At 105% Of Normal in 2025

BasisPoint Insight

April 15, 2025 at 10:27 AM IST

IMD’s Monsoon Forecasts: Feeling Under The Weather

IMD’s monsoon forecasts miss the mark most of the time. Can India’s economy weather unreliable predictions?

BasisPoint Groupthink

April 5, 2025 at 11:28 AM IST

iStock.com/AROYBARMAN

Week in Numbers – Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

Monetary Policy

RBI’s Growth Hopes Mask Limits of Policy Easing

India’s Recovery Plan Is Missing Its Fiscal Half

Govt Gets Pragmatic About Crop Production, Lower Aim For Kharif 2025-26

Monsoon Mask Fails to Hide India’s Industrial Demand Weakness

Early Monsoon Tempers Output, But Macro Signals Turn Upbeat

The Monsoon’s Early Promise Is Not Yet A Policy Comfort

Predictability Of Weather Has Reduced

Newsletter

Offscript Weekly: Skies That Roar, Stories That Soothe

Early Onset No Guarantee For A Good Monsoon

IMD Sees Southwest Monsoon Rains At 105% Of Normal in 2025

IMD’s Monsoon Forecasts: Feeling Under The Weather

The Bureau