Monetary Policy

What Would Actually Make the RBI Hike?

Markets have largely priced in a pause at the August MPC meeting. The more consequential question is what comes after — and what it would take to get there.

Radhika Piplani

August 3, 2026 at 5:33 AM IST

istock.com

India Aug-Sep Rainfall Likely Below Normal as El Niño Strengthens

BasisPoint Insight

July 31, 2026 at 1:21 PM IST

Market Depth Can Turn Rainfall Shocks into Smaller Price Spikes

Dense agricultural market networks can sharply reduce the impact of extreme rainfall on tomato, onion and potato inflation.

Ashima Goyal

Anas Khan

July 21, 2026 at 8:18 AM IST

istock.com

The World's Fuel Choices May Reshape India's Kitchen

As more vegetable oil is diverted into biofuels, India faces a growing risk that global markets may no longer reliably supply its kitchens.

Atul Prakash

July 10, 2026 at 10:29 AM IST

Istock.com

El Nino Once Again Exposes Gaps in Irrigation Strategy

India needs to focus on a long-term irrigation and crop strategy at both the centre and state level if it needs to break the cycle of being held hostage to the monsoon each year.

Sharmila Kantha

July 7, 2026 at 6:27 AM IST

istock.com

India’s Water Crisis Is the Price of Years of Policy Neglect

India's water crisis did not begin with this year's weak monsoon. It is the result of years of treating water as an abundant resource.

G. Chandrashekhar

July 3, 2026 at 6:45 AM IST

istock.com

Between Certainty and Chaos Lies the Business of Being Human

As policymakers, businesses and markets navigate an increasingly fragmented world, every difficult choice becomes a lesson in trust, resilience and uncertainty.

Phynix

June 29, 2026 at 5:26 AM IST

US Fed

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

High-frequency indicators pointed to a significant slowdown in growth in May. However, with the ceasefire between the US and Iran holding and energy prices easing, growth is likely to improve in the coming months.

Datametricx

June 28, 2026 at 12:23 PM IST

istock.com

Weak Monsoon has an Inflation Bias

Rainfall deficits push food prices up more sharply than rainfall surpluses bring them down

Shubhada Rao, Vivek Kumar, and Yuvika Singhal

June 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM IST

Istock.com

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

India’s WPI inflation and merchandise trade deficit remained elevated in May as the conflict in West Asia pushed up energy prices. Both are likely to ease if the ceasefire between the US and Iran holds and energy prices remain contained.

Datametricx

June 20, 2026 at 11:27 AM IST

istock.com

Crop Output Targets For 2026-27 Are Out, But Are They Realistic?

The government’s crop production targets seem to have ignored ground realities such as the looming El Nino, the West Asia unrest and a monsoon at 90% of the LPA.

G. Chandrashekhar

June 3, 2026 at 5:23 AM IST

istock.com

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

The Indian economy appears to be bracing for another setback, with the weather bureau projecting southwest monsoon rainfall in 2026 at 90% of the long-period average, the lowest since 2015.

Datametricx

May 30, 2026 at 10:42 AM IST

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

The war in West Asia is beginning to weigh on economic activity, with rising crude oil prices and supply-side uncertainties affecting demand and sentiment.

Datametricx

April 4, 2026 at 2:08 PM IST

Istock.com

India’s Rabi Crop Estimates May Be Too Optimistic

The government’s second advance estimates project record wheat and mustard output, yet heat stress, weak rainfall, and yield math suggest caution.

G. Chandrashekhar

March 16, 2026 at 2:50 AM IST

iStocks/branex

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

Notwithstanding the robust growth reported in the latest GDP numbers, high-frequency indicators point to anaemic momentum in industrial activity.

Datametricx

December 27, 2025 at 11:39 AM IST

istock.com

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

Early data suggest a sharp uptick in demand in October following GST rate cuts — but can it last? E-way bills suggest otherwise.

Datametricx

November 8, 2025 at 8:33 AM IST

istocks.com

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

India’s industrial growth more than doubled in the July-September quarter, but remained well below the expansion signalled by the PMI.

Datametricx

November 1, 2025 at 7:57 AM IST

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

Early October data showed no significant boost in private-sector activity, even though the full impact of the GST rate cuts had taken effect.

Datametricx

October 25, 2025 at 2:28 AM IST

Indian Navy

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

With GST rate cuts coming into effect and a significant statistical base effect in play, India’s inflation indicators are likely to move toward deflation in October.

Datametricx

October 18, 2025 at 12:45 PM IST

istock.com/natbits

Kharif Crop Prospects Satisfactory Overall, Risks from Excess Rainfall Remain

It is important to note that the total seasonal rainfall is not as critical as its temporal and spatial distribution, which are crucial for agriculture.

G. Chandrashekhar

September 29, 2025 at 1:15 PM IST

iStock.com

The Bureau

Nifty Down on Uncertainty Over Crude Supply; Rupee Ends Lower for the Week

Russia Now Supplies More Than Half of India’s Crude-Oil Imports, Says GTRI

India July WPI inflation eases marginally to 9.78% as fuel price pressure moderates

RBI advances FCNR(B) swap window closure to August 31

Women Are Entering India’s Boardrooms. But How Far Have They Come?

Fitch Affirms India's BBB- Rating; Pegs 2026-27 GDP Growth at 6.4%

Merchant Fees Should Not Be levied On UPI Under External Pressure

RBI Allows Banks to Restrict Loan-Financed Phones, Other Devices After Default

UPI & RuPay Payments May Soon Cost You: — Here’s What Could Change

The Foster Mother of Lodhi Garden