Why the Dollar Is Quietly Winning Again

Political turmoil in Europe and Japan, and a genuine US productivity revival, are fuelling a dollar rebound few expected.

Yield Scribe

October 13, 2025 at 5:02 AM IST

iStock/Pla2na

Tragicomix

Nobel Committee’s Trump Problem

From peace talks to bleach cures, Trump’s legacy baffles the Nobel Committee: too vast for one medal, inspiring a new prize for sheer unintended innovation.

R. Gurumurthy

October 4, 2025 at 7:13 AM IST

The Morning Edge

Risk-Off Mood Grips Asia After Fed Signals Unclear Rate-Cut Trajectory

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

September 24, 2025 at 2:04 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

US Stocks at Records on Intel Surge, Fed Cut; Asia Awaits BOJ Decision

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

September 19, 2025 at 1:49 AM IST

Powell Frames Fed’s Cut as Risk Insurance, Not a Pivot

Powell’s 25 bps cut looked dovish on paper, but his hawkish framing stressed risk insurance, not a pivot, leaving markets guessing on what’s next.

Madhavi Arora

September 18, 2025 at 3:21 AM IST

Federal Reserve

Powell’s Quiet Win Against Trump’s Noise

Powell rallied colleagues for a cautious cut, resisting Trump’s pressure. His quiet resilience showed the Fed can still steer its own course.

BasisPoint Groupthink

September 18, 2025 at 2:28 AM IST

White House

Fed Shifts Toward Job Market Risks With First Rate Cut Since December

Fed cuts rates for the first time since December, shifting focus from sticky inflation to rising job market risks as unemployment edges higher.

BasisPoint Insight

September 18, 2025 at 2:07 AM IST

Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Powell Frames Fed Cut as Risk Management, Equities Struggle for Direction

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

September 18, 2025 at 1:38 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

Fed Risks Losing Independence Under Powell’s Double Error

Powell’s legacy may be defined by delays on both inflation and growth, leaving the Fed exposed to political pressures and erosion of autonomy.

Yield Scribe

September 17, 2025 at 4:29 AM IST

White House

Powell's Last Chance to Protect the Fed

With the Fed at risk of slipping on all aspects of its mandate, continued inaction by Powell would leave the institution even more damaged.

Mohamed A. El-Erian

September 13, 2025 at 4:42 AM IST

White House

A New Approach in Trump’s War On Powell

Trump’s latest jab at Powell swaps brute force for reductio ad absurdum, arming his Fed critique with jokes, jargon, and a dash of intellectual flair.

BasisPoint Groupthink

September 10, 2025 at 2:08 AM IST

Central Banking

The Monetary Power of Words in Central Bank Communication

Words have become one of the most powerful instruments in monetary policy, sometimes stronger than rate moves or liquidity operations.

Babuji K

August 25, 2025 at 9:23 AM IST

The Morning Edge

Powell Hints at September Rate Cut as Job Market Risks Rise

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 25, 2025 at 1:27 AM IST

Screengrab

Powell’s Caution, CBO’s Fantasy and Illusions That Move Markets, Budgets

Powell’s cautious words and the CBO’s tariff arithmetic show how modern finance thrives on misreadings and manufactured optimism.

R. Gurumurthy

August 23, 2025 at 3:58 AM IST

Screengrab

Powell’s Precarious Balance

Powell’s Jackson Hole signal of a rate cut showed a Fed caught between rising unemployment risks and Trump’s tariff-fuelled inflation pressures.

BasisPoint Groupthink

August 22, 2025 at 4:41 PM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Fed Officials Signal Caution on Rate Cuts, Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech in Focus

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 22, 2025 at 1:26 AM IST

Fed Enters RBI Debate as Singh Flags Global Linkages

BasisPoint Insight

August 21, 2025 at 2:44 AM IST

Via WikiCommons

Questions for the Fed

The Fed’s inflation mistakes, overconfidence in financial regulation, and other errors partly reflect the “groupthink” to which all organizations are prone.

Glenn Hubbard

August 18, 2025 at 4:59 PM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Europe Backs Zelenskyy as Trump Weighs Ukraine Peace Pact

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 18, 2025 at 1:31 AM IST

White House

Powell, Under Construction

Trump’s latest shot at Powell swaps rate charts for blueprints, but the aim is the same: bend the Fed to his campaign tune.

BasisPoint Groupthink

August 12, 2025 at 4:39 PM IST

White House

The Morning Edge

Trump Narrows Fed Chair Search, Eyes Kugler Replacement This Week

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 6, 2025 at 1:39 AM IST

White House

FOMC Holds Rates Steady in Historic Split Amid Pressure from Trump

BasisPoint Insight

July 31, 2025 at 2:11 AM IST

Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Fed holds rates steady; Powell tempers hopes of a September cut

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

July 31, 2025 at 1:52 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

How Central Banks Jeopardised Their Independence

By expanding their own understanding of their mandate, monetary authorities became caught up in fiscal policy and triggered inflation, precisely what central-bank independence is intended to avert.

Otmar Issing

July 29, 2025 at 4:12 PM IST

US Federal Reserve

Powell Weighs Politics and Data as Trump Heat Clouds Fed’s Path

Political fire and mixed data frame this week’s Fed decision; Powell must hold the centre while keeping September easing firmly in play.

BasisPoint Groupthink

July 29, 2025 at 11:02 AM IST

White House

The Morning Edge

Trump Hits Out at Fed’s Renovation Spend; Trade Talks Lift Sentiment

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

July 25, 2025 at 2:09 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

Through the Glass Darkly: Listing The Known Unknowns

As global risks mount, from volatility in the Russian oil supply to uncertainty over the future of the Fed chair, are we adequately prepared for the coming economic shocks?

Abheek Barua

July 23, 2025 at 10:02 AM IST

Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Trump Hails $550 Billion Japan Deal, Slams Fed Powell as “Numbskull”

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

July 23, 2025 at 1:46 AM IST

iStock.com/studiocasper

Is Trump About to Fire the Fed Chair?

The Fed’s independence has been one of the most important and stabilizing developments in economic policy in decades. Trump would hurt businesses and households by damaging it.

Michael R. Strain

July 22, 2025 at 3:17 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Powell Defends Fed HQ Costs as US Data Shows Retail, Jobs Rebound

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

July 18, 2025 at 1:20 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

EU Warns of Retaliation as Trump Presses Fed, Tariff Tensions Rise

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

July 15, 2025 at 1:10 AM IST

iStock.com/MAGNIFIER

The Morning Edge

Trump Turns Up Heat on Fed and Japan as Economic Crosswinds Stir Fresh Uncertainty

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

July 1, 2025 at 1:32 AM IST

The Morning Edge

Powell Defends Fed's Interest-on-Reserves Power, Warns Against Costly Overhaul

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

June 26, 2025 at 1:23 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

Digest

The Morning Edge: Powell Warns Tariffs May Fuel Inflation; US Intel Questions Impact Of Iran Strikes

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

June 25, 2025 at 1:18 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

Fed Holds Rates, Flags Caution on Tariff-Led Inflation

BasisPoint Insight

June 19, 2025 at 1:59 AM IST

Digest

The Morning Edge: Fed Signals Strategic Rethink Amid Era of Persistent Supply Shocks

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

May 16, 2025 at 1:22 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

Digest

The Morning Edge: Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Mounting Economic Crosscurrents from Trade Policies

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

May 8, 2025 at 1:30 AM IST

Fed Holds Rates Steady; Powell Stresses Caution In Uncertain Times

BasisPoint Insight

May 8, 2025 at 1:12 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

Digest

The Morning Edge: Trump Demands Immediate Rate Cuts, Escalating Fed Feud as Markets Wobble

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

April 22, 2025 at 1:31 AM IST

Digest

The Morning Edge: Powell Signals Patience as Tariffs Complicate Fed's Mandate

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

April 17, 2025 at 1:24 AM IST

Digest

The Morning Edge: Powell Warns of Economic Crosswinds as Trump Tariffs Reshape Outlook

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

April 7, 2025 at 1:31 AM IST

US Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Economic Uncertainty, Maintains 2025 Rate Cut Forecast

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady for a second consecutive meeting as officials balanced concerns over slowing economic growth against the risk of persistent inflation.

Richard Fargose

March 20, 2025 at 12:49 AM IST

The Morning Edge: Fed Signals Potential Overhaul of Key Rate Forecast Tool

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

March 10, 2025 at 1:07 AM IST

The Bureau

Markets Cautious Despite Hopes of Trump–Xi Meeting

India’s September Retail Inflation Lowest Since 2017; Core Rises to 4.5%

Gold ETFs Log Record Inflows in September; Equity Fund Inflows Ease for Second Month

Steel Industry Gets Temporary Relief on BIS Rule; GTRI Urges Full Rollback

As Bihar Turns Into a Battleground, Swing Voters Could Rewrite the Map

India’s Biggest Investor Base Is Still on the Sidelines

Centre Primes States With Early Cash Before Festivals

RBI Reopens Rate Door, December Cut Alive

Will India's Ban on Online Money Games Work? Or Will It Meet the Same Fate as Liquor Prohibition?

Jallikattu: Tamil Nadu’s Ancient Bull-Taming Tradition

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