The Morning Edge

US GDP Growth Revised Higher to 3.3% in Q2; Fed Rate Cut Debate Intensifies

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 29, 2025 at 1:20 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Fed Eyes Data Before Rate Decision; Trump’s 50% Tariff on India in effect

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 28, 2025 at 1:49 AM IST

Trump Tests the Guardrails of US Credibility

Trump’s firings of the BLS chief and a Fed governor mark more than theatrics. By purging referees, he risks the credibility of America’s economy.

R. Gurumurthy

August 26, 2025 at 10:08 AM IST

Via WikiCommons

The Morning Edge

Trump Fires Fed Governor Lisa Cook Amid Mortgage Controversy

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 26, 2025 at 1:24 AM IST

Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Powell Hints at September Rate Cut as Job Market Risks Rise

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 25, 2025 at 1:27 AM IST

Screengrab

Powell’s Caution, CBO’s Fantasy and Illusions That Move Markets, Budgets

Powell’s cautious words and the CBO’s tariff arithmetic show how modern finance thrives on misreadings and manufactured optimism.

R. Gurumurthy

August 23, 2025 at 3:58 AM IST

Screengrab

Powell’s Precarious Balance

Powell’s Jackson Hole signal of a rate cut showed a Fed caught between rising unemployment risks and Trump’s tariff-fuelled inflation pressures.

BasisPoint Groupthink

August 22, 2025 at 4:41 PM IST

US Federal Reserve

Questions for the Fed

The Fed’s inflation mistakes, overconfidence in financial regulation, and other errors partly reflect the “groupthink” to which all organizations are prone.

Glenn Hubbard

August 18, 2025 at 4:59 PM IST

US Federal Reserve

Central Banking

Goldman Sachs and the Fed’s Softer Stress Tests: A Capital Gamechanger

The Fed’s relaxed stress test scenarios cut projected losses sharply, boosting capital at the US banks. India’s system can draw key lessons.

Rahul Ghosh

August 14, 2025 at 11:29 AM IST

Via WikiCommons

Powell, Under Construction

Trump’s latest shot at Powell swaps rate charts for blueprints, but the aim is the same: bend the Fed to his campaign tune.

BasisPoint Groupthink

August 12, 2025 at 4:39 PM IST

White House

The Morning Edge

Markets Watch Putin-Trump Meeting; Fed Shifts Toward Rate Cuts

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

August 11, 2025 at 1:31 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

Central Banking

Why History Keeps Rhyming: The Return of Light-Touch Regulation

Almost two decades after the 2008 crisis, calls to ease financial regulation grow louder, risking return to the same policy mistakes that once shook the global system.

Rabi N. Mishra

August 5, 2025 at 9:04 AM IST

erhui1979/Istock.com

The Morning Edge

Markets Await Fed decision; IMF Lifts Emerging Market Growth Outlook

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

July 30, 2025 at 1:52 AM IST

Via WikiCommons

How Central Banks Jeopardised Their Independence

By expanding their own understanding of their mandate, monetary authorities became caught up in fiscal policy and triggered inflation, precisely what central-bank independence is intended to avert.

Otmar Issing

July 29, 2025 at 4:12 PM IST

US Federal Reserve

Powell Weighs Politics and Data as Trump Heat Clouds Fed’s Path

Political fire and mixed data frame this week’s Fed decision; Powell must hold the centre while keeping September easing firmly in play.

BasisPoint Groupthink

July 29, 2025 at 11:02 AM IST

White House

Through the Glass Darkly: Listing The Known Unknowns

As global risks mount, from volatility in the Russian oil supply to uncertainty over the future of the Fed chair, are we adequately prepared for the coming economic shocks?

Abheek Barua

July 23, 2025 at 10:02 AM IST

Federal Reserve

Is Trump About to Fire the Fed Chair?

The Fed’s independence has been one of the most important and stabilizing developments in economic policy in decades. Trump would hurt businesses and households by damaging it.

Michael R. Strain

July 22, 2025 at 3:17 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

Trump Ups Tariff Heat on EU as Fed Signals Split on Rate Path

Here’s your quick read to start the day: a chatty, no-fuss look at overnight moves, the big story, what’s on the docket, and the tickers you need to watch.

Richard Fargose

July 21, 2025 at 1:30 AM IST

Via WikiCommons

The Morning Edge

Powell Defends Fed HQ Costs as US Data Shows Retail, Jobs Rebound

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

July 18, 2025 at 1:20 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

US Fed Officials Warns of Rising Inflation from Tariffs

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

July 17, 2025 at 1:21 AM IST

US Federal Reserve

The Morning Edge

EU Warns of Retaliation as Trump Presses Fed, Tariff Tensions Rise

A newsletter designed to prepare you for the day, offering a concise summary of overnight developments and key events ahead that could influence your workday.

Richard Fargose

July 15, 2025 at 1:10 AM IST

iStock.com/MAGNIFIER

Fed’s Dot Plot Traps Markets In False Precision

Fed watchers obsess over the dot plot’s shifting projections. But beneath the clean graph might lie a mess of guesswork, groupthink, and miscommunication.

R. Gurumurthy

June 20, 2025 at 6:59 AM IST

AI Generated

Fed Holds Rates, Flags Caution on Tariff-Led Inflation

BasisPoint Insight

June 19, 2025 at 1:59 AM IST

Donald Trump’s Tariff Retreat Is All Optics, No Outcomes

The deal with the UK is symbolic, not strategic. Expect more such announcements as the US administration backpedals on its 10% tariff wall.

Manoj Rane

May 12, 2025 at 12:37 PM IST

Volatility In US Markets Is Here To Stay

The spell of QE cast by the Fed is still being fuelled by leverage, foreign capital, and investor psychology.

Sandeep Kumar

April 14, 2025 at 12:48 PM IST

Damien VERRIER/iStock.com

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