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October 21, 2026 at 12:12 PM IST
Following are the highlights of comments by members of the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee at their October 5-7 policy review:
RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra
- Inflationary pressures are building up.
- Increasing signs of generalisation of inflation.
- Underlying inflation, excluding precious metals, is anticipated to move above target in coming months.
- Data indicate normalisation of inflation from previously benign levels.
- Difficult to distinguish between second-round effects and the indirect impact of supply-side pressures.
- Monetary policy primarily acts by curtailing second-round effects of a supply shock.
- Risks of demand-side pressures need to be assessed in view of growth in monetary and credit aggregates.
- Change in stance signals that future policy action can only be a rate hike or a pause.
- Duration and extent of the rate-hike cycle will depend on growth-inflation developments.
Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta
- Inflation is primarily driven by external supply-side shocks, particularly food, fuel and gold.
- Inflation has seen limited generalisation to core inflation, with insignificant signs of inflation becoming entrenched.
- Inflation may reach the upper tolerance limit of 6%.
- Inflationary pressures are mounting globally amid the West Asia conflict and elevated oil prices.
- Weather-related adversities may add to inflationary pressures.
- A larger pass-through of input costs may materialise.
- A further rate increase might be needed to keep inflation low.
- Inflation diffusion and second-round effects will guide rate action.
- The pace and extent of rate action will depend on incoming data.
- High funding demand in advanced economies may push global interest rates higher.
Saugata Bhattacharya
- Some upside risks to inflation have started materialising.
- Energy prices have risen, while data suggest price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economic system.
- India's external balance remains a concern amid vulnerabilities in the balance of payments and tighter global financial conditions.
- Maintaining a certain gap between India's and G7 interest rates is important.
- Domestic financial conditions have tightened significantly, mitigating the need for large policy actions.
Ram Singh
- Inflation has generalised beyond the direct effects of fuel and commodity prices.
- Firms are passing higher input costs on to prices of goods and services.
- Projected inflation could render the real repo rate negative.
- A calibrated increase in the repo rate is needed.
- There is a case for incremental, mild repo rate hikes rather than keeping rates high for a prolonged period.
- Classic signs of economic overheating are largely absent.
- Growth is expected to moderate in coming quarters.
- Significant rate hikes could hurt firms' profit margins and capital expenditure plans.
Nagesh Kumar
- A neutral policy stance remains appropriate amid continued uncertainty.
- FCNR(B) inflows will help stabilise the rupee.
- The India-EU free trade agreement could boost labour-intensive exports from early 2027.
Indranil Bhattacharyya
- Time to set aside the “cautiousness bias” in monetary policy.
- Better to act pre-emptively on inflation than wait and watch.
- Supply- and demand-side factors could significantly raise inflation pressures ahead.
- Crude and food price pressures are unlikely to ease quickly.
- Evidence of input-cost pass-through is increasing in restaurants and cooked meals.
- Further input-cost pass-through is likely as demand remains strong.
- Underlying inflation momentum remains high.
- Core inflation also shows signs of broadening price pressures, though to a lesser extent.
- Inflation expectations are significantly higher in both urban and rural areas.
- Rate cuts are not an option in the near term.
- Calibrated tightening signals that the near-term policy choice is between rate hikes and a pause.
- India's FY27 GDP growth is seen above 7%.
- The shift to a calibrated-tightening stance reaffirms the RBI's commitment to price stability.