When Family Formation Falters, Economies Feel It

There’s a global relationship recession. “Singletons” are rising in economies designed for families. Either we build a new economic model or change “man up” to “skill up.”

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By Kirti Tarang Pande

Kirti Tarang Pande is a psychologist, researcher, and brand strategist specialising in the intersection of mental health, societal resilience, and organisational behaviour.

November 29, 2025 at 8:51 AM IST

You can feel it in everyday conversations. In the quiet resignation of a woman who says, “It’s easier to stay single.” In the defensive joke a man makes when someone asks why he’s still alone at thirty-eight. Something is shifting — not just in bedrooms and living rooms, but in boardrooms, budgets, and birth registers.

When I was growing up, I knew one single woman in my Tier-2 town. She was a banker like my mother. My father, unusually for his time, shared an equal load at home, but my brother and I were still a lot of work. My parents woke up at four every morning to finish chores, pack our schoolbags, and leave for work by ten. After office, my mother cooked dinner, played with us, and somehow found time to knit and sew. In college, she had been vibrant in theatre and music; now she had time for neither.

The single woman also woke up at four for her sangeet riyaz. Then she’d walk by the lake. Her evenings were spent teaching music to blind orphans, helping them form a band, getting them gigs, and teaching driving (in her own car, for free) to destitute boys so they could find work. Weekends were for travel and shopping. She brought artisanal clothing from small towns and sold it for a profit — a second income in the small-town 90s.

While my mother was exhausted, this woman seemed relaxed, fulfilled, and in control of her time.

“My God, her life is amazing! When I grow up, I want to be like her,” my friend said at fifteen. She’s forty now, single by choice. So are four women who work with her. So are many women across the country.

Since 2010, the world has been in a relationship recession, and its ripple effects look less like a cultural quirk and more like a macroeconomic risk. Demographers warn that most regions outside sub-Saharan Africa are headed toward long-term population decline. Families produce and raise children; without stable family formation, fertility has no runway for recovery.

There is nothing wrong with being single by choice. But when it’s driven by a lack of viable partners — and when surveys show most singles would prefer a relationship — it becomes a social trend worth watching. Many have simply given up because dating feels bleak or partners feel unsatisfactory. Emerging technologies like AI “lovebots” may pull some further from intimacy.

For years, the narrative was convenient and wrong: women are independent now; careers matter more; marriage is outdated. But when psychologists listen closely, they hear a quieter truth.

Most people still want companionship.
Most want someone to come home to.
Most do not want to grow old alone.

And yet we drift further apart. Not because love is dying, but because the bar for partnership has risen and many men haven’t been given the tools to meet it.

This is not male-bashing. Men are victims here too. This is not an ideological sermon. It is economics.

When millions of women decide that living with a mediocre partner is more expensive — emotionally, physically, financially — than staying single…
When millions of men withdraw because they feel unprepared or unchosen…
When family formation collapses because modern expectations meet outdated skill sets…
It does not remain a “personal preference.” It becomes a national balance-sheet problem.

There was a time, not long ago, when living alone was sold as progress. Singlehood was independence. Dating apps promised abundance. But beneath that narrative, something else was happening.

Studies show that for many women, living alone provides more safety, dignity, better sex, fewer chores, and less emotional exhaustion than life with a partner lacking maturity or relational literacy. For men, living alone often means less intimacy, weaker social support, fewer emotional skills, and a quiet creep of inadequacy. Single men also report significantly less sex than married men — and singlehood is harder on wellbeing.

Relationship quality has skyrocketed for well-matched couples. But the pool of such couples is shrinking. Many are quietly exiting the dating market, not because they don’t want love, but because they’re tired of failing at it.

Skills Mismatch
So, what went wrong?

Women, as a group, are less inclined to marry. The pro-natalist right calls it moral decline. Pop culture celebrates liberation. Psychologists see something simpler: living alone has become easier. This has strengthened women’s safety, expectations, and bargaining power. It has allowed them to walk away from unequal relationships.

A friend, an Ivy League psychologist, once waved a study at me showing that on apps, women rarely swipe right on men under six feet. “Standards have risen,” he said. “Men aren’t clearing the bar.”

I agree with the pattern, not the framing. Women didn’t raise the bar. They made it fair.

As a client told me: “I can open jars. I pay my bills. I handle my orgasms. I don’t need a man for anything except joy. If there’s no joy, what’s the point?”

She’s not wrong.

As society modernised, emotional labour became visible. Domestic labour stopped being instinctively feminine. Communication stopped being optional. Empathy became essential. Women adapted — economically, socially, emotionally.

Men were told they didn’t need to. We are now living with the consequences.

A widening mismatch has emerged between what women expect and what men are trained for. Men feel the silent benchmarking. Women feel the emotional load they refuse to carry. Economists feel it in collapsing marriage and birth rates. Governments feel it in pension shortfalls, shrinking workforces, and strained elder-care systems.

Dating is not a private marketplace. It is the hiring pool for the future workforce. And right now, we face a talent shortage — not of men, but of relationship-ready men.

This is why Japan, South Korea, Italy, Spain, China — and soon India — face population collapse. Not because women dislike motherhood, but because too many cannot find partners worthy of building a life with. And too many men don’t know how to become the partners they want to be.

Rising singlehood leads to falling fertility, shrinking labour supply, and mounting pressure on healthcare and pension systems. The traditional family-care model collapses when more people live alone. Demand for formal caregiving rises. Household consumption shifts. Even beauty spending increases as educated women compete for a shrinking pool of emotionally competent men.

None of this is because men are inadequate. It’s because no one taught them the skills modern relationships require.

We taught boys to suppress emotion.
We taught them domestic skills were optional.
We taught them caregiving was feminine.
We taught them vulnerability was weakness.
We taught them that being a provider was enough.

Then we pushed them into a world where emotional intelligence is the currency of partnership, where two incomes are essential, where women no longer tolerate unequal labour, and where long-term relationships rely on communication, empathy, and flexibility.

Men did not adapt at the same pace. The resulting gap in relational readiness now appears in housing demand, tax projections, elder-care deficits, and the architecture of national economies.

Global decline in family formation isn’t driven by selfishness or modernity. It’s driven by skills mismatches — the same way economies falter when workforces fail to keep up with technological change.

Rising Costs
And the future of family won’t be shaped at kitchen tables. It will be shaped in conference rooms. Workplaces are where the next generation decides whether partnership and parenthood are feasible or foolish.

You can see the pressure points everywhere:
A woman delaying motherhood because her workplace penalises parental leave.
A man wanting children but unable to imagine being both a present father and competitive employee.
A couple postponing pregnancy because daycare costs equal a second rent.
Employees hiding caregiving needs because workplace culture worships availability.

These are not individual hesitations. They are structural deterrents.

If nations want families, they must stop lecturing women and start redesigning work. The answer is not pink-washing or benevolent sexism. It is eliminating hidden penalties that make family life feel like a career crime.

The future of fertility lies not in government slogans but in whether workplaces allow people the oxygen to build families without burning out. If we want stable families and emotionally resilient adults, we must invest in the relational competence of boys — not because men are broken, but because they were never taught the operating system modern relationships need.

Imagine if boys learned — as girls have always had to — to navigate emotion, negotiate conflict, communicate needs, recognise burnout, share domestic work, and build psychological safety.

Imagine replacing “man up” with “skill up.”

Loneliness would fall.
Birth rates would stabilise.
Domestic violence would decline.
Workplace productivity would rise.
Mental-health burdens would ease.
Ageing societies would breathe again.

A world of singletons is not inherently tragic. Many will thrive. The crisis lies with the millions who do not want to be single yet cannot find emotionally compatible partners — and with shrinking workforces, collapsing tax bases, and caregiving shortages.

We stand at a cultural and economic crossroads.

We can blame women.
We can shame men.
We can demand marriage like it’s 1952.
Or we can confront the truth:

Modern relationships require modern skills.
Modern economies require modern families.
Modern families require modern men.

Male relational underperformance is not a failure of masculinity. It is a failure of social investment. Until society trains boys for the emotional economy they are entering — and not the industrial one they left behind — we will continue living through the slow, quiet collapse of the family. Not out of selfishness. Not out of liberation. But out of exhaustion.

The relationship recession is here. Its consequences are macroeconomic. A future of singletons is not inherently good or bad. But we must choose: adapt states, workplaces, and tax systems to a “family of one,” or begin much earlier — by raising boys and girls for the world they must help create.