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Krishnadevan is Editorial Director at BasisPoint Insight. He has worked in the equity markets, and been a journalist at ET, AFX News, Reuters TV and Cogencis.
March 5, 2026 at 4:13 AM IST
Indian paint companies are still valued as a consumer business by the stock market, but the operational centre of gravity has moved to the industrial category. Decorative paint market leader Asian Paints and Berger Paints India, a distant second, reported volume growth of 7.9–8.5% in October–December, yet revenue remained flat to low single digits and margins were supported by lower discounting rather than pricing power. The equity market still values these companies like consumer staples even as earnings increasingly come from industrial and automotive coatings.
The first break in the old decorative-led story shows up in structure, not sentiment. Decorative was the sector’s high-margin engine. It now faces flat revenue growth alongside a visible reset in competitive intensity as new companies with deep pockets enter. Kansai Nerolac posted flat to slightly lower revenues in decorative paints during October-December because the management chose to exit low-margin commodity lines such as putty instead of defending volume at any price.
The second break is where resilience has migrated. Advertising can move the needle in decorative paints; but cannot dislodge a supplier integrated into an OEM paint shop. Kansai Nerolac’s roughly 70% share in two-wheeler coatings and about 60% in overall automotive rests on multi-year technical pacts with manufacturers, not on consumer advertising. These contracts are built around paints that meet specific standards on corrosion protection, bake cycles, environmental compliance and line uptime, with vendor qualification cycles running over years rather than quarters.
That difference in switching cost and time horizon makes the industrial and automotive book more defensive than retail decorative paints. New entrants cannot shortcut that by raising advertisement budgets. They need application labs, field engineers, process trials, and a demonstrated record on quality and logistics. The operational moat has shifted from construction material and hardware shops to formulation IP, application know-how and just-in-time supply at the factory gate.
That makes the competitive map look more segmented. Asian Paints and Berger are running as volume maximisers. They are sustaining high-single-digit decorative volume growth but are most exposed to the volatility of retail discounting and the need to defend market share at retail counters. Both are effectively paying to defend the part of the portfolio where structural pressure is rising fastest.
Indigo Paints is optimising for unit economics rather than scale, keeping a sector-leading gross margin in the mid-40s by staying out of the most aggressive economy-segment discounting and concentrating on a more differentiated mix. Akzo Nobel is following a similar logic at larger scale, targeting operating margins around the mid-teens and accepting muted top-line growth in exchange for efficiency and premium positioning.
Strategic Shift
Rising crude oil prices following the military escalation in West Asia are now adding a near-term risk to gross margins across the sector, because solvents and binding agents such as phthalic anhydride are petroleum derivatives and paint companies typically carry only six to eight weeks of raw material inventory.
The immediate effect of this shift is that capital and management bandwidth are being redirected. Incremental spend is moving away from defending decorative market share and towards industrial capability, including new capacity for specialised coatings, tighter integration with OEM and infrastructure supply chains, and product development for B2B demand rather than household repaint cycles.
If these factors stay in place, the paint sector will not settle back into its old pattern. Decorative paints will still be the biggest and most visible piece, but it will behave more like a crowded, promotion-driven category than a steady consumer staple. Industrial and auto coatings, which used to be in the background, will carry more of the earnings weight because they rest on long-term technical fit and logistics that are difficult and slow to copy. The sector’s moat is moving from brand recall and dealer reach to how tightly a supplier is integrated into a factory’s production line, shifting the business from walls to assembly lines.
(This column reflects the author’s personal views and is based on publicly available information. It is intended for general commentary and analytical purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.)