The Middle East, long described as the fulcrum of global geopolitical turbulence, currently finds itself in a deceptive lull. The decimation or substantial degradation of non-state militant actors such as Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, along with the diminished influence of the Assad regime in Syria, has seemingly brought a pause in the region’s perennial storm.The arc of proxy warfare, once stretching from Tehran to the Mediterranean through Baghdad and Damascus, now appears fragmented. In Yemen, the Houthis remain the lone disruptive actor, threatening international maritime routes in the Red Sea and Arabian Sea, but without the cohesive regional momentum that once defined Iran-backed strategic ambitions.