Selected Tag: El Niño
Selected Tag: El Niño

When the Strongest Move Is Not to Move

As inflation risks collide with softer growth, the RBI's hold reflects a harder test of monetary policy: knowing when not to overreact.

Sparsh Chhabra

June 18, 2026 at 11:16 AM IST

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Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

The Indian economy grew faster than expected in January-March, even as the RBI cut its 2026-27 growth forecast by 30 bps to 6.6%.

Datametricx

June 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM IST

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Monetary Policy

RBI MPC raises India FY27 CPI inflation forecast to 5.1% from 4.6% earlier

The Monetary Policy Committee raised its forecast due to higher crude oil prices. Global supply chain disruptions, commodity price shocks, uncertainty over distribution of southwest monsoon, and El Niño conditions also pose upside risks, it said.

BasisPoint Insight

June 5, 2026 at 6:29 AM IST

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istock.com

Monetary Policy

RBI Cuts India’s FY27 GDP Growth Forecast to 6.6% From 6.9% Earlier 

BasisPoint Insight

June 5, 2026 at 6:20 AM IST

Monetary Policy

RBI Expected to Hold Rates, Focus Turns to Inflation and the Rupee

The RBI is expected to keep rates unchanged, but rising oil prices, a weak rupee and inflation risks could shift focus towards future policy tightening.

Team BasisPoint

June 3, 2026 at 6:22 AM IST

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Monetary Policy

Risk-Reward Trade-Off Favours a Hawkish Hold by RBI MPC

RBI may hold rates, but rupee pressure, crude risks and Taylor-rule arithmetic argue for a more hawkish policy tone.

Abhishek Upadhyay

June 2, 2026 at 3:04 AM IST

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Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

The Indian economy appears to be bracing for another setback, with the weather bureau projecting southwest monsoon rainfall in 2026 at 90% of the long-period average, the lowest since 2015.

Datametricx

May 30, 2026 at 10:42 AM IST

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India’s Monsoon Risk is Really an Inflation and Rural Demand Test

Below-normal rain, El Niño and heatwaves could turn India’s monsoon into a test of food inflation, crop resilience and rural demand.

Sakshi Gupta

May 30, 2026 at 5:54 AM IST

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India Cuts Monsoon Rain Forecast to 90%

BasisPoint Insight

May 29, 2026 at 8:31 AM IST

India’s Stagflation Narrative Is Finally Catching Up With Reality

India’s inflation shock is deepening even before fuel, food and currency pressures fully transmit through the economy.

Dhananjay Sinha

May 16, 2026 at 4:04 AM IST

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India’s Sugar Export Ban May No Longer Be Just About Sugar

Rising oil prices, ethanol demand and tightening sugar balances suggest India’s latest export ban may reflect fuel-security concerns as much as food inflation worries.

G. Chandrashekhar

May 15, 2026 at 9:58 AM IST

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Is Cotton Mission a Strategic Sovereignty or a Statistical Chimera

India’s cotton revival plan aims to reclaim self-sufficiency, but low yields, weak R&D and climate risks may test its ambitions.

G. Chandrashekhar

May 6, 2026 at 12:16 PM IST

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The Bureau

Flawed Design, Poor Planning Make Extreme Heat Conditions Worse For Indian Cities
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