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Vivek Kaul is a writer and an economic commentator.
June 3, 2026 at 4:13 AM IST
Infosys is getting older. Or so said a recent news report in The Mint, pointing out that in 2025-26, the share of employees under the age of 30 had fallen to 51%, down from 60% in 2021-22.
Another news report in The Mint pointed out that Reliance Industries may have reduced its new hirings “by as much as 90,000” in 2025-26 compared with 2024-25. While Reliance may not be an outright technology firm, it has been betting big on the sector over the years.
In its annual report, Reliance Industries reported a workforce of more than 419,000 employees at end-March 2026, including over 100,000 new hires, largely in artificial intelligence, data science, automation and digital transformation.
Data from staffing firms, cited by a report in The Economic Times suggested that annual fresher intake in the technology sector has fallen by nearly two-thirds, from around 380,000 positions in 2021-22 to about 120,000 in 2024-25.
According to The AIdea of India: Outlook 2026, a report by the Confederation of Indian Industry and EY, technology services firms in India have already reduced 20-25% of entry-level roles through the deployment of automation and artificial intelligence.
The report also noted a shift in hiring patterns. One large information technology services company cut entry-level recruitment by nearly 30%, while increasing mid-career hiring by 20% to fill emerging artificial intelligence-related roles.
In pure consultant speak, this is being called the “diamond shape” workforce – which is leaner at the bottom and broader in the middle.
This change in structure has broken the traditional formula which has worked through the decades – starting from the mid to late 1990s, running through the 2000s and 2010s and to some extent even in the 2020s.
No Toilet Breaks
As Jamie Bartlett explains in How To Talk To AI – (And How Not To): “Early career roles appear most vulnerable, since they often involve routine repetitive work that machines can do quite well.”
Or as this writer has said several times over the years: “Robots don’t take toilet breaks”.
Replace the word robot with artificial intelligence, and the argument stays the same.
Indeed, the breakdown of the formula – where a half-decent education ensured jobs and some prosperity for a lifetime – has led to many parents with kids in their late teens and early twenties getting really worried about the future of work.
More importantly, the larger question in the minds of people is: Will AI destroy jobs?
Now, this is not the first time that the question of technology destroying jobs has cropped up. It has happened multiple times over the last few centuries. And there are no simple answers.
What makes the situation worse is the fallacy of composition – the idea that what is good at an individual level is not necessarily good for society as a whole.
In fact, this point is made in a March 2026 research paper titled The AI Layoff Trap authored by Brett Hemenway Falk of the University of Pennsylvania and Gerry Tsoukalas of the Boston University, respectively.
At the level of an individual firm, it may make perfect sense to cut jobs, slow hiring, or recruit fewer people than in the past, while using AI to do more work and boost productivity in the process.
Nonetheless, as Falk and Tsoukalas write: “A problem arises along the way: displaced workers are also consumers, and when their lost income is not replaced, each round of layoffs erodes the purchasing power all firms depend on.”
In the Indian case there are entire cities like Bengaluru, Pune and Hyderabad, which basically have been running on the consumption carried out by IT employees. What will happen to the economies in these cities in the decade to come? How will they evolve?
Diamond Shaped Firms
There’s another question that the firms don’t seem to be bothered about. How can a diamond-shaped organisation be stable? How can something perpetually be balanced on an edge?
Indeed, if millions of entry-level jobs disappear and incomes stagnate, who will buy the smartphones, stream the movies, order the food, take the flights and pay the EMIs? AI doesn’t take toilet breaks, but it doesn’t consume either. And that may be the biggest AI problem of all.